2024 Toronto—St. Paul's federal by-election
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Riding of Toronto—St. Paul's | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A by-election is scheduled to be held in the federal riding of Toronto—St. Paul's in Ontario, Canada on June 24, 2024, following the resignation of incumbent Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.
The Government of Canada announced measures to protect the by-election from foreign interference.[1]
The race is being considered by some as a "referendum" on the premiership of Justin Trudeau.[2][3]
Background
The riding of Toronto—St. Paul's was vacated on January 16, 2024, following the resignation of Liberal MP Carolyn Bennett.[4][5] Bennett, most recently the Minister of Mental Health and Addictions and Associate Minister of Health in the government of Justin Trudeau, had held the seat since 1997.[6]
Constituency
Toronto—St. Paul's is a safe Liberal[7] seat in Midtown, Toronto. It has been held by the Liberals since the 1993 federal election.[8]
Candidates
Running for the Liberal nomination was Leslie Church, former chief of staff to Chrystia Freeland.[9] She later received formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto—St. Paul’s in April 2024.[10] She ran against Emma Richardson, a senior advisor with Global Affairs Canada’s United Nations division.[11] The Liberal nomination was held on May 1 with Church winning the nomination.[12][13]
Other prospective candidates for the Liberal nomination who declined to run, included former Toronto city councillor Josh Colle; former Ontario MPP Eric Hoskins, who represented the area provincially from 2009 to 2018 and previously served in the provincial cabinets of Dalton McGuinty and Kathleen Wynne, including as Minister of Health and Long-Term Care from 2014 to 2018; and Toronto city councillor Josh Matlow, who has represented the area municipally since 2010; Matlow ultimately decided not to run.[9][14][15] With his riding set to merge with Scarborough Centre at the next election, Don Valley East MP Michael Coteau was seen as a potential candidate, in order to avoid a nomination battle with fellow Liberal MP Salma Zahid; Coteau ultimately declined to run.[14][16]
The Rhinoceros Party announced that Sean Carson would be the candidate on January 13.[17]
The Conservative Party nominated Don Stewart on January 24. He works for the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization.[18][19]
The NDP announced on April 17 that Amrit Parhar would be the candidate. She works as the Director of Programs at the Institute for Change Leaders, an organization that was founded by Toronto mayor, Olivia Chow.[20] It was previously reported two days earlier by The Hill Times that MPP for Toronto—St. Paul's, Jill Andrew was considering seeking the nomination.[21]
On May 17, the Centrist Party announced Ali Mohiuddin as their candidate.[22]
On May 24, the Green Party announced that Christian Cullis, a constituent coordinator for Ward 11 city councillor Dianne Saxe, would be their candidate.[23] Emma Richardson, who previously lost the Liberal nomination, also sought the Green Party nomination.[24]
On May 28, the People's Party announced that Dennis Wilson would be their candidate.[25]
The Longest Ballot Committee has chosen the riding for its next target; this may result in dozens of independent candidates.[26] They intend to do this due to opposition to first-past-the-post voting.[27] As of June 3, 2024, there were 84 candidates confirmed by Elections Canada,[28] breaking the previous record of 48 set in the Winnipeg South Centre by-election of June 19, 2023.
Results
Resignation of Carolyn Bennett | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Liberal | Leslie Church | |||||||
Conservative | Don Stewart | |||||||
New Democratic | Amrit Parhar | |||||||
Green | Christian Cullis | |||||||
People's | Dennis Wilson | |||||||
Centrist | Ali Mohiuddin | |||||||
Marxist–Leninist | Meñico Turcotte | |||||||
Marijuana | Danny Légaré | |||||||
Rhinoceros | Sean Carson | |||||||
Independent | Mélodie Anderson | |||||||
Independent | MarthaLee Aykroyd | |||||||
Independent | Alex Banks | |||||||
Independent | Myriam Beaulieu | |||||||
Independent | Michael Bednarski | |||||||
Independent | Line Bélanger | |||||||
Independent | Maxime Boivin | |||||||
Independent | Mylène Bonneau | |||||||
Independent | Jean-Denis Parent Boudreault | |||||||
Independent | Alain Bourgault | |||||||
Independent | Erle Stanley Bowman | |||||||
Independent | Jaël Champagne Gareau | |||||||
Independent | Sébastien CoRhino | |||||||
Independent | Léthycia-Félix Corriveau | |||||||
Independent | Charles Currie | |||||||
Independent | John Dale | |||||||
No Affiliation | Stephen Davis | |||||||
Independent | Mark Dejewski | |||||||
Independent | Kubera Desai | |||||||
No Affiliation | Manon Marie Lili Desbiens | |||||||
Independent | Cory Deville | |||||||
Independent | Gerrit Dogger | |||||||
Independent | Samuel Ducharme | |||||||
Independent | Ysack Dupont | |||||||
Independent | Donovan Eckstrom | |||||||
Independent | Alexandra Engering | |||||||
Independent | Dji-Pé Frazer | |||||||
Independent | Guillaume Gagnier-Michel | |||||||
Independent | Daniel Gagnon | |||||||
Independent | Donald Gagnon | |||||||
Independent | Daniel Andrew Graham | |||||||
Independent | Pierre Granger | |||||||
Independent | Zornitsa Halacheva | |||||||
Independent | Anthony Hamel | |||||||
Independent | Felix-Antoine Hamel | |||||||
Independent | Blake Hamilton | |||||||
Independent | Loren Hicks | |||||||
Independent | Kerri Hildebrandt | |||||||
Independent | Martin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville | |||||||
Independent | Demetrios Karavas | |||||||
Independent | Kevin Krisa | |||||||
Independent | Krzysztof Krzywinski | |||||||
Independent | Alain Lamontagne | |||||||
Independent | Pierre Larochelle | |||||||
Independent | Marie-Hélène LeBel | |||||||
Independent | Renée Lemieux | |||||||
Independent | Connie Lukawski | |||||||
Independent | Glen MacDonald | |||||||
Independent | Agnieszka Marszalek | |||||||
Independent | Matéo Martin | |||||||
Independent | Thibaud Mony | |||||||
Independent | Yusuf Kadir Nasihi | |||||||
Independent | Winston Neutel | |||||||
Independent | Guillaume Paradis | |||||||
Independent | Joshua Bram Hieu Pham | |||||||
Independent | Lorant Polya | |||||||
Independent | Danimal Preston | |||||||
Independent | Olivier Renaud | |||||||
Independent | Spencer Rocchi | |||||||
Independent | Wallace Richard Rowat | |||||||
Independent | Jacques Saintonge | |||||||
Independent | Jonathan Schachter | |||||||
Independent | Roger Sherwood | |||||||
Independent | Yogo Shimada | |||||||
Independent | Julie St-Amand | |||||||
Independent | Pascal St-Amand | |||||||
Independent | Mário Stocco | |||||||
Independent | Patrick Strzalkowski | |||||||
Independent | Daniel Stuckless | |||||||
Independent | Benjamin Teichman | |||||||
Independent | Darcy Vanderwater | |||||||
Independent | Gavin Vanderwater | |||||||
Independent | Elliot Wand | |||||||
Independent | Michal Wieczorek | |||||||
Independent | Jordan Wong | |||||||
Total valid votes | ||||||||
Total rejected ballots | ||||||||
Turnout | ||||||||
Eligible voters |
2021 result
| ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | Expenditures | |||
Liberal | Carolyn Bennett | 22,844 | 49.22 | -5.09 | $88,807.52 | |||
Conservative | Stephanie Osadchuk | 13,587 | 25.30 | +3.69 | $26,751.24 | |||
New Democratic | Sidney Coles[29] | 9,036 | 16.83 | +1.05 | $31,250.09 | |||
Green | Phil De Luna | 3,214 | 5.99 | -0.77 | $30,817.63 | |||
People's | Peter Remedios | 1,432 | 2.67 | +1.12 | $1,412.77 | |||
Total valid votes/Expense limit | 53,698 | 98.93 | – | $112,245.61 | ||||
Total rejected ballots | 580 | 1.07 | +0.43 | |||||
Turnout | 54,278 | 65.48 | -4.91 | |||||
Eligible voters | 82,891 | |||||||
Liberal hold | Swing | -4.39 | ||||||
Source: Elections Canada[30] |
References
- ^ "Government of Canada announces measures to protect Toronto-St. Paul's by-election from foreign interference". www.canada.ca. 2024-05-21. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
- ^ Tasker, John Paul (2024-06-20). "Toronto voters say federal byelection is a referendum on Justin Trudeau's future". CBC. Retrieved 2024-06-20.
- ^ MacCharles, Tonda (2024-06-15). [hhttps://www.thestar.com/politics/this-isn-t-just-another-byelection-in-toronto-it-might-reveal-the-future-for-justin/article_273357d6-29df-11ef-804e-cb61f433e2b6.html "This isn't just another byelection in Toronto — it might reveal the future for Justin Trudeau and Pierre Poilievre. Here's what's at stake"]. Toronto Star. Retrieved 2024-06-20.
- ^ Rabson, Mia (December 12, 2023). "Carolyn Bennett stepping down as Liberal MP for Toronto-St. Paul's after 26 years". The Canadian Press. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ "The Hon. Carolyn Bennett, P.C., M.P." Library of Parliament. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
- ^ "Liberal minister Carolyn Bennett announces she will not stand for re-election". CTVNews. 2023-07-24. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
- ^ "Federal byelection announced for June 24 in Toronto St. Paul's riding". CTV News. May 19, 2024.
- ^ "Trudeau announces date for Toronto—St. Paul's byelection". Toronto Star. May 22, 2024.
- ^ a b Rana, Abbas; Jeffery, Stephen (December 18, 2023). "Toronto-St. Paul's byelection could be 'first test' of Jewish voters' reaction to Canada's UN vote on Israel-Hamas war, say political insiders". The Hill Times. Retrieved December 22, 2023.
- ^ Vigliotti, Marco (April 22, 2024). "Leslie Church receives formal approval to run for Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved April 25, 2024.
- ^ Vigliotti, Marco (25 April 2024). "Leslie Church expected to easily win Liberal nomination in Toronto-St. Paul's on Tuesday: sources". iPolitics. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
- ^ Duguid, Terry; Martinez Ferrada, Soraya. "Liberal Nomination Meeting – Toronto—St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. Retrieved 25 April 2024.
- ^ "Liberal Party of Canada announces Leslie Church as Team Trudeau candidate for Toronto–St. Paul's". Liberal Party of Canada. 1 May 2024. Retrieved 1 May 2024.
- ^ a b Vigliotti, Marco (January 25, 2024). "Liberals still considering candidates for Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ https://twitter.com/JoshMatlow/status/1761054619273167274
- ^ Vigliotti, Marco (January 19, 2024). "Coteau won't run in Toronto-St. Paul's byelection". iPolitics. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
- ^ Parti Rhinocéros Party (January 13, 2024). "Candidate announcement for by-elections in Durham and Toronto St. Paul !!!". Facebook. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ "Welcome your Toronto—St. Paul's candidate". Retrieved 18 April 2024.
- ^ "Nomination Contest Database". Elections Canada. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
- ^ "We are so proud to announce Amrit Parhar as our nomination candidate for the upcoming by-election in TSP!". Toronto St. Paul's NDP. 17 April 2024. Retrieved 17 April 2024.
- ^ Rana, Abbas (15 April 2024). "Poor polling numbers, NDP MPP's rumoured candidacy, and Mideast conflict turns Toronto-St. Paul's, Ont., byelection into tight three-way race, say Liberal MPs". The Hill Times. Retrieved 27 April 2024.
- ^ "Ali Mohiuddin is the nomination candidate of the #Centrist Party for Toronto St. Paul's riding By-election". Twitter. Centrist Party of Canada. 17 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Christian Cullis to run in Toronto-St Paul's". greenparty.ca. Green Party of Canada. 24 May 2024. Retrieved 25 May 2024.
- ^ "Emma Richardson for Toronto—St. Paul's". Retrieved 23 May 2024.
- ^ Bernier, Maxime (28 May 2024). "If you live in Toronto, support our PPC candidate Dennis Wilson!". Twitter. Retrieved 28 May 2024.
- ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post. Postmedia. Retrieved January 22, 2024.
- ^ Passifiume, Bryan (December 27, 2023). "Long ballot activists planning to make short work of Toronto byelection". National Post.
- ^ "List of candidates: Toronto--St. Paul's (Ontario) By-Election (Monday, June 24, 2024)". Elections Canada. June 3, 2024.
- ^ "Toronto NDP candidate resigns after discovery of controversial social media posts". CP24. September 15, 2021.
- ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 21 June 2024.